Surging Severe Weather Risks This Week

Tuesday and Wednesday will probably be quite busy...

The fits and spurts part of the tornado season is upon us, and this is either a fit or a spurt — I’m not sure how the saying is technically supposed to work. A fit would be…but yet a spurt.

Oh, wait, where was I?

Oh yes, this week will be busy with tornadoes possible on both Tuesday and Wednesday. Another system is coming in on that one’s heels that will bring cooler/rainier weather to the Plains. Let’s dive in.

Tuesday

The first day for us to examine is tomorrow (Tuesday). Moisture will begin surging north later today, with a sharp dryline taking shape by the afternoon hours tomorrow.

A strong cap aloft will largely inhibit storms until later in the day, but increasing upper lift combined with strong mixing in the dryline zone will bring about an increasingly likely chance of storms developing towards the sunset hour.

The HREF guides the way, with a look at storm initiation probabilities across the region show…