Quiet Pattern Continues

This is an only for now statement. Mid-Month will bring changes.

The lack of surface moisture is causing an almost completely dry pattern to persist for at least 5-7 days over the Plains and extend back into the Southwest. However, we may start to see changes emerge by mid-month.

Why So Dry?

Repeated cold fronts (which haven’t been THAT cold but still bring northerly flow) have been slamming south through the Gulf of Mexico, sending moisture away from the CONUS.

This is not a surprising pattern for this time of year. November to February are the driest months of the year for the Plains, after all. But it does create a situation where getting rich, tropical moisture back north is quite difficult for the atmosphere. However, this is only part 1 of a 2-part series.