Plains Severe Weather Today

Oklahoma, Texas, Kansas all under the threat area with a very low tornado risk.

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight across portions of the Southern Plains. Large hail and damaging wind gusts are the main threats. This activity has a very low tornado threat, mainly confined to any supercells ongoing near and just after sunset.

Location

• Oklahoma

• Kansas

• Texas (especially western, northern, and central portions)

Threats

• Large hail (potentially exceeding 2 inches in diameter)

• Damaging to severe wind gusts

• Isolated tornadoes (threat is limited due to lower moisture)

Timing

• This afternoon through tonight

Discussion

Upper-Level System: A shortwave trough and several smaller disturbances will move across the Southern Plains, setting the stage for thunderstorms.

Surface Features: A low-pressure system will track across Oklahoma and Kansas, with a trailing cold front and a sharpening dryline.

Storm Development:

• Isolated storms could form along and ahead of the dryline this afternoon.

• The greatest concentration of storms is likely in western Oklahoma i…