🤔🤫June Is Having a Low-Key Week

Nothing huge looks to be on the horizon but storms every day should happen.

If you asked me to draw up what I thought a low-key but active June storm pattern was like on average, I think I’d draw up something similar to this week. Early in the week, NW flow will dominate over the high plains with a building ridge to the south. By late week, a compact low could eject over the High Plains with severe weather chances as well. We should have near-daily, but low, chances of severe weather.

Early Week

Moisture will be in place with good upslope flow most of the weekend, with today’s severe risk extending into Kansas and tomorrow’s east into Oklahoma. There may be enough flow to eke out a very high-based supercell today in CO, but flow weakens substantially tomorrow as the risk shifts south. Still, some severe weather is likely on both days.

A compact wave will eject on Monday, which will lead to a risk of severe storms from East New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle. There is …