⛈️ It's Time to Look at Monsoon Season

El Niño will bring about a very different season this year than last.

If you are a longtime reader/watcher/follower of us, you know we chase the Plains storm season, particularly the Southern and Central Plains. You also know that we indulge in the beautiful Southwestern Monsoon most every year as well. This year should be no different, as I plan to do a few new things this season.

But, will it be a good season? Let’s take a look at what the data says.

Keep in mind that seasonal forecasts are always of pretty low confidence. A few small changes in the large-scale pattern can be huge difference-makers. I love writing these using an objective lens, but I also try to not take these or myself too seriously when doing so. 

The Experts

Overall the next three months (July – September) the Climate Prediction Center is predicting a lean towards below normal precip for portions of the Southwest, consistent with a quieter than normal monsoon. Most NWS offices in the SW Regio…