Enhanced Severe Weather Threat from KS to OK

Tornadoes will be possible.

Today, an enhanced threat has been outlined from Kansas into Northern Oklahoma, with hail, damaging winds, and a tornado possible. Storms will certainly crowd up along the cold front, with a threat of quick spin-up tornadoes lasting well into the night along that aforementioned line.

The big change from yesterday’s data is that storms look like they may go further south just before or at sunset, all the way to Central Oklahoma. By midnight, a sprawling line that spans from Wisconsin to Texas should have taken shape.

Initial Conditions

Initially today, we are looking at mid-upper 60 dewpoints as far north as Southern Oklahoma, with lower 60 dewpoints into Kansas. These should all rise modestly throughout the day, with S to SSW flow continuing across the warm sector. The cold front that will touch off our storms is plainly visible, arcing across Kansas this A.M.

The radar screen is already busy wi…