Models are in remarkable agreement that we will have a pretty stout storm move into the region this weekend, with heavy snow likely for some of us.
Models are taking a very similar track with the system, resulting in pretty solid agreement on the location of snow being widespread from Eastern New Mexico to Missouri and beyond.
Totals are up in the air. This is a classic El Niño system with a lot of moisture available at all levels, but the temperatures in the near-surface layer are only just barely conducive to snow formation. Additionally, the ground temperatures are as such that the actual accumulation of snow is likely to be lower by a good bit than models are forecasting.
If I had to guess, there’ll likely be a 4-8” zone somewhere in the Panhandles to Western Oklahoma — with lighter amounts around that. Either way, travelers will have issues as roads get snow-packed in this region over the weekend.