If you live on the Plains, aka the ‘traditional’ Tornado Alley, you would feel that this year is anything but average with few tornadoes thus far. But if you are a resident of the Midwest, particularly from Illinois to Ohio, you definitely feel like you are in the midst of a historically active season.

Thanks to that activity over the Midwest, we are running very close to average in terms of tornado count across the whole country. Given the pattern ahead, it is likely we stick at least to near average with more tornadoes over the Plains likely ahead — but an above-average May would mean we are likely to end the year pretty active overall.