The weather between now and Thanksgiving for the Central/Southern Plains will almost certainly be wetter than we’ve grown used to.
Models are still showing a lot of spread, but we’re starting to see more agreement, lending a higher confidence forecast in the pattern into Thanksgiving. As of right now, it does look like we will have a higher-than-average chance of seeing above-average precipitation for the next ten days. The WPC’s QPF map shows S/SE Oklahoma as a place to watch for healthier rainfall totals.
As of right now, I’m not seeing a winter weather threat — but temperatures may be the coldest of the season thus far into next week. We could see some freezing temps for lows as far south as the Red River into the Thanksgiving holiday week. We’re keeping an eye on it.