The upper-air pattern is set to undergo a pretty stark shift in the coming days, with a pretty progressive/flatter flow regime being replaced by a blocky/amplified pattern over the lower 48. The practical impacts of this will be a stormier/more active pattern for many of us, especially across the South/East parts of the country.
A smaller/compact storm system will be moving through the S/C Plains tomorrow, with rain possible from Texas/Oklahoma and points east. We’re not expecting high-impact weather, just a nice soaking rain. This is good!
As we gaze further into the future, as the pattern begins to shift next week, we will eventually see a full suite of weather. First off, there will be warm/tranquil conditions as flow amplifies and a ridge builds in. Eventually, a trough will emerge into the middle of the country with that heat build-up (and gulf moisture lurking around as well).
If all of this can come together, we could look at the possibility of severe weather again by Thanksgiving week or so somewhere from the Southern/Central Plains to the South. That’s 10+ days out, so there’s no need to speculate beyond that, so we’ll leave it there.