Storms should form after dark in the eastern parts of the Southern Great Plains on Thursday and then spread east through Friday. These storms will have the potential to produce damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a few tornadoes.

The big caveat at this point is that the degree of instability is in question. There are some extremely strong wind shear profiles out there on Thursday – Friday…but the instability is a bit lacking on some models.

The above graphic shows both winds plotted with height and surface instability in the shaded area. It’s a bit more of a technical look at the environment, but what it is showing is a small and pinched off warm sector. This would temper the tornado possibility a bit.

If we get a lot of destabilization, especially Friday afternoon across Georgia/Carolinas, we could see a significant threat of severe weather develop. But if instability holds off, the threat will obviously be much lower.