September has been one of our quieter weather months on the Central and Southern Plains most of the time for the last decade. Historically we tend to eek out a decent severe weather day or two this month, but summer is historically present as much as it is not the first half of the month at least.

Upper high centered over the Southern/Central Plains and the Southwest will slowly shift west this week.


There will be a ‘cold front’ in the region this Tuesday and Wednesday but…yeah.

A Front is Coming Next Week?

An edge will be taken off of our temperatures next Tuesday, depending on how far south a projected cold front goes. A lot of the region will probably see high temps in the 80s (don’t fall out of your chairs) on Tuesday and even Wednesday if we can get lucky.

24 hour max temps for Tuesday per the GFS model.

The GFS currently has the look of a severe weather setup for next Tuesday on the Central/Southern Plains. The Euro loosely agrees with a less robust wave. But, this space is going to remain optimistic.

The Bottom Line

For this week there will be some sporadic chances of showers/storms over the Central/Southern Plains back to the Rockies but severe weather chances look limited at best. Next week could be the week the pattern starts changing out of the persistent summertime pattern we’ve been in since July — which would make it about right on schedule this year.

That would be a relief given the record-breaking summer we’ve had across the region.

We’ll be watching it and hoping along with you all that Fall is around the corner.