Tomorrow will be another low-end day with just enough of everything for supercells and even a low-end tornado threat. The trend of this week has been for all of these low-end days to find a way to produce strong low-level mesocyclones and even tornadoes it seems.
Will tomorrow follow that trend?
Early indications from weather models are that a few supercells may take shape from south of Waco to San Antonio. An environmental analysis reveals ample 3CAPE available to tilt and stretch vorticity into the vertical. Critical angles are pretty favorable for at least decent streamwise ingestion as well. Thus, storms will probably find it easy to rotate tomorrow.
As of right now, the risk does look low — but that’s mainly due to more sporadic storm coverage. Any individual supercell will have a high chance of producing severe weather. We’ll be keeping an eye on it.