The first snow of the season for many will unfold tonight into Sunday across the Central and Southern Plains, setting up the Christmas season for those of us with a bag of cheer.

Looking at the image above, we see the 24-hour chances for 1” or greater or snow on the top-left. As you can see, there’s a reasonable shot at snow into nearly Central Oklahoma, with Kansas almost certainly getting a blanket of snow.

On the top-right are the chances for 4” of snow or greater. The chances of this look much lower and in a smaller area. So while this is our first snow of the year, widespread heavy impacts are not anticipated.

The system will begin to emerge onto the Plains from the southwest today and tonight (bottom-left).

By Saturday, widespread snow will be ongoing from Kansas to the Texas Panhandle. There will be a narrow band of freezing rain and sleet as well across SE Kansas to Central Oklahoma — with rain otherwise (bottom-right). The ice accumulations aren’t expected to be very heavy and should be confined to primarily elevated surfaces like bridges and overpasses. The impacts should be low to moderate from this system overall, with travel slowdowns the main threat.