We won’t always post forecast discussions for elevated hailers — but today we’re doing it because it is January and this is the first severe weather threat of the year on the Plains.
Location: A slight risk across the Red River Valley with a marginal risk surrounding that in OK/TX.
Timing: Evening into the overnight.
Threats: Mainly a large hail threat, but some damaging winds and a non-zero tornado risk are also present.
Discussion: Mainly elevated (storms rooted above the surface) will form towards sunset across the Red River Valley and in West Texas. Storms that do form will move quickly north and east posing a large hail threat. The severe weather threat is roughly centered on the Red River in North Texas and SE Oklahoma. Near-surface-based storms could root during the overnight on the southernmost ends of storm development. We’ll have to keep an eye on that potential.
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hi friend, good job
Great commentary, I love all the tips your throw in.
Informative !
Good video!
Thank you..
Question regarding looking at a contaminated forecast sounding: should contaminated soundings always be avoided when assessing a storm situation? When I’m chasing, I frequently click on forecast soundings within storms in order to compare the storms to each other. I’m wondering if by doing that, that I might be complicating my nowcasting, making it less accurate and more frustrating.
Eu agradeço por morar no Brasil
Great idea! I appreciate you walking us through these set ups. I would definitely appreciate these break downs when storm season is here. Not too far off now.
i hope i get some good severe thunderstorms for youngstown ohio sometime soon, do you think youngstown ohio could get some severe thunderstorms this february or do you think more like early march i am eager to start storm chasing thats why i am asking can youngstown ohio get some tornadoes sometime soon