The Tropics Awaken

The pattern over the U.S. seems to be stuck on mid-Summer.

You would be forgiven if you did not know that it was hurricane season, given that we haven’t had any activity so far this month. Getting through August without much more than a whisper is like tornado season moving through April with little activity. It can and does happen, but it’s more rare.

But September is the historical peak of the season and it does look like the tropics are beginning to light up right on cue.

There are currently four areas the NHC is tracking for tropical development, with one over the central Atlantic assigned a high probability of development over the next five days. There is a pretty decent amount of wind shear out there, but once this wave clears that shear it should be all systems go for rapid development of a tropical system.