⛈️ Stormy Weather This Week, Will It Be Severe?

We already have one severe weather risk outlined for Wednesday.

The overwhelming feeling I get when looking at weather models in this current pattern is, “This would be a much bigger deal in May than it is in March.”

What we’re seeing on models right now is a lack of surface moisture. Surface moisture acts to increase instability to the point that, even with the weak to moderate shear we have, severe weather becomes more likely. Still, I think we’ll likely see sporadic severe weather risks this week from the Plains to the Southeast.

The storm system we’ve been dealing with in the Southwest this weekend is still well west to start the week, with a post-frontal high pressure sitting comfortably over the Southern/Central Plains.

Early Week

Today and tomorrow shouldn’t really pose that much for us. The upper-low that’s been dumping rain and snow on New Mexico and Arizona is still sitting back west on both of these days. The Plains will be undergoing slow airmass…