⚠ Significant Threat of Hail Today N TX/S OK

This might be the annual 'huge hail' day that happens in this area each year it seems.

We’re racing off to a hot start on the Southern Plains for severe weather season with yet another threat of severe storms and tornadoes today. There will be notable rounds/modes of storms: more isolated supercells with very large hail potential this afternoon and then a growing line complex into the night.

Storms will form pretty early today. Let’s jump in so they don’t beat me to publish time.

Isolated to scattered supercells will be ongoing by mid-afternoon across Southern Oklahoma and North Texas.These will be occuring in a somewhat mixed storm mode environment, which may be another limiter of the tornado threat this afternoon. Supercells like to play alone to produce tornadoes.

Environmental Evolution

Today will be much more classic early Spring than Sunday was. There is low to moderate instability with adequate wind shear for supercells. Initially the low-level hodographs aren’t terribly large, but the overall length of the hodograph with the lack of low-level turning tends to point …