October: Fall? Summer? Spring? Something else?

At least models do agree about the first 1/2 of the month.

Sep 30, 2024

∙ Paid

October is typically the season of pumpkin spice, spooky movies, and a chill in the air finally arriving for most of us.

But the first 1/2 of the month won’t be like that at all for the most part.

A large ridge of high pressure will be centered over the four corners region, shunting the jet stream way north this week. This will lead to warm to even hot temperatures with dry conditions expected across most of the Plains and SW.

The overall pattern for the first half of the month looks to be dominated by a large western U.S. ridge. A glance at the ensembles shows this pretty clearly:

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