⚠️ Nighttime severe hailers in OK/AR

Our first setup in awhile on the Southern Plains will bring a threat of large hail to the region tonight.

An upper low will approach the Southern Plains from the west, increasing lift along a front enough to touch off storms late this afternoon into tonight. Large hail will be the main threat, but damaging winds may also occur early on.

Most high-res models break out storms across OK, AR, and TX in the evening hours on Saturday.

Almost entirely nocturnal threat: Most high-res models show very little confidence in storm initiation before dark across much of the area. The best chance for storms in the daytime will be east-central Oklahoma into Arkansas.

Big Hailers: The environment on Saturday suggests the potential for some big hail with the initial cellular activity. With time, storms will form into a line and the overall severe threat should diminish.