It was very busy last week but then...

JUST WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE WHAT THIS WEEK OFFERS 💤😴

This week is going to be…very busy.

But not weather-wise. Let’s be honest: You are making a Christmas list, planning out your Thanksgiving meal, and might even be eyeing some new camera gear.

But the weather? Let’s say you probably won’t be thinking much about it. Let’s dig in.

There Is Technically a Severe Risk Tuesday

If you squint your eyes, tilt your head, turn your screen upside down, and say your ABCs backward…in Finnish, then you can make out a severe weather day on Tuesday on models before sunset.

There is a minimal risk outlined on Tuesday…for what that’s worth.

A storm system will approach the Plains with…some…moisture coming northwards. Dewpoints in the low/mid 50s will help a dryline set up over the Panhandles.

During the afternoon, there is some evidence that instability will be present. And there won’t be total capping. Shear is substantial (50+ knots). But the instability does look so low that you might end up in one of those situations where towers get sheared apart as they grow.

Overnight, as the low approaches, the instability aloft will increase as it lifts. We likely will see some elevated storms form with lots of instability rooted above the surface layer. This is a classic hail signal on the Plains, with overnight activity persisting and pushing east.

The Rest of the Week

After Tuesday, there’s not much to report on. That’s the good news. Some moisture will come back north ahead of another storm system by the weekend — but that one looks even more mistimed. Perhaps it could be a severe weather-maker in the southern U.S., but the Plains will likely see very little storm activity.

There are no real signs of wild temperature swings or anything like that, either. It’s just going to be a typical week of November weather, for the most part. We’ll be keeping an eye on next weekend just in case, and you can bet we’ll be updating our Facebook if anything intriguing comes up.

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