A look at the week ahead

Severe weather chances enter the picture today and before shifting east of the Plains on Wednesday.

A big upper storm system will emerge onto the Plains early this week, bringing with it the threat of severe storms over multiple days. The day with the most potential is Tuesday, which we’ll spend a bit of time on in this newsletter — but let’s break down Sunday and Monday first.

Today (Sunday)

There’s not much to share today honestly. Storms will form late in the day and go into the overnight across NE OK into Missouri. A rogue tornado along the front edge of an advancing line is possible — but damaging winds and hail will be the primary threats.

Simulated radar valid for after midnight tonight.

Monday

A pretty robust environment will set up east of the Plains in Arkansas on Monday, where I think we could see a pretty localized but notable severe weather event. For the Plains, a front will sag south with a dryline trailing south and west from that in north and central Texas. Capping is going to be pretty strong and forcing pretty weak across Texas down the dryline. If a storm manages to g…