A busy week of storm systems 😵‍💫

Today begins what might be a pretty busy week for weather watchers.

The upcoming seven days will feature two storm systems with various regional impacts. Severe weather AND winter weather are possible depending on your location.

In other words, it’s Winter.

Today

Short-range high-resolution models are in good agreement that a few storms will form after dark tonight along/ahead of a cold front moving south and east through the Southern Plains. This front will also be responsible for the severe weather threat that will continue through the night and into tomorrow (more on that later today).

Forecast soundings from this area show a slight chance that a storm or two could be rooted near the surface — but generally, it is more likely that storms will be ingesting air parcels from a more elevated position, making the tornado threat very, very low. There is enough instability, and the shear profiles are such that some large hail will be the primary threat with storms tonight in this region.

Storms should weaken with time before firing anew tomorrow along the surg…