We have a risk of severe storms today, though admittedly, the atmosphere really isn’t that primed for much more than some damaging winds and perhaps some marginally severe hail. Storms will form across the Southern/Central High Plains, but there is very little wind shear, so they’ll be rather unorganized and resemble a monsoon-like storm day.

  • Southern/Central Rockies: Weak east-northeasterly upslope flow will lead to thunderstorms in the higher terrain.
  • Southern Plains: Additional storms anticipated near a convectively reinforced front from west TX to southern/eastern OK.
  • Conditions: Modest atmospheric flow may limit thunderstorm organization. However, a moist and moderately unstable airmass is in place.
  • Risks: Isolated severe wind gusts and hail possible with pulse convection and loosely organized multicell clusters. Deep-layer shear is too weak for a more organized severe threat.