I’m not sure if you could draw up a more perfect map for calm weather across much of the country. Thanks to a cold front that dove through the lower-48 this past week, much of the country is mild and dry — with only very light precipitation across the country right now.
This mild/dry pattern for most of us is about as classic fall as you can get for us — but it won’t last. A more amplified pattern is indeed on the way, which will mean more stormy weather for many of us.
The Euro is still bringing a potent trough east on the 18-20 or so of this month — the GFS has backed off of that a bit. We’re watching it for an outside chance at some late Fall storm chasing!