We’ve had a pretty steady string of low-end severe weather setups the last week and that should continue over the next week. We talked about storms being possible near daily with lower-end severe chances last weekend and that pattern looks to largely continue.
It looks like the High Plains will be where the severe weather is centered for the next couple of days.
This is a big week of transition for the pattern for the Plains. On the outs is the absolutely horrifically hot (and record-breaking) summer and coming in warm but not hot is autumn.
The Bottom Line
This is a much different week than we’ve seen, and it’s for the best. We will see an active storm pattern this week, along with cooler temperatures.
- Temperatures will trend cooler area wide. Some areas in Texas may push back towards 90s by late week, but that’s far better than the near 110s.
- Storms will be possible each day in different areas. Some low-end severe weather risks will be issued throughout the week. I’m not seeing much of a tornado risk all week, but large hail/damaging winds for sure.
- This cooldown and pattern may not last, some models want to amplify the ridge and send us record-breaking heat again by the last 1/2 of the month. Models are showing a lot of heat build up across the Northern Rockies/Southern Canada, which signals cool air likely won’t be coming to the rescue for a good bit. Given the waning sun over the next few weeks, it will be increasingly difficult to get to the readings we’ve seen all summer, but we may remain unseasonably warm through the month.