Enhanced Threat of Tornadoes Today 🌪️

Eastern Oklahoma and Arkansas are the main zones to watch for the day.

An Enhanced Risk of severe thunderstorms exists today from southeastern Oklahoma to southern Missouri. Tornadoes, large to very large hail, and strong to locally severe wind gusts are possible.

Location

• Southeastern Oklahoma

• Arkansas

• Southern Missouri

• Potentially extending into portions of:

  • Northeastern Texas

  • Eastern Oklahoma

  • Mississippi Valley

  • Tennessee Valley

  • Ohio Valley

Threats

• Tornadoes

• Large to very large hail

• Strong to locally severe wind gusts

Timing

• This afternoon into the evening

Discussion

• Storm Drivers

  • A cutoff upper-level low over the Southwest U.S. and a separate shortwave impulse over the Central Great Plains will interact to create favorable conditions for storms.

  • Strong heating near a slow-moving boundary (either dryline or cold front) will increase instability, fueling storm development.

  • Wind shear increases throughout the day, with small hodographs initially appearing as storms fire.

• Storm Evolu…