Today looks a lot like yesterday in many ways but with better overall ingredients and likely lower storm coverage. This should result in a day with some severe storms and perhaps a couple of supercells with good structure. Another possibility is that storms grow upscale into small outflow driven clusters which could result in some pretty substantial dust storms across the Northern Panhandle region.
The Bottom Line: It’s a low threat day for severe weather, but as a storm chaser I am finding the options quite intriguing. We’re going to be out live streaming later and could be at any target in the Panhandles. We’re monitoring everything and we’ll see you there.
Tomorrow is another story. There are a lot of questions about cloud cover, degree of destabilization, morning convection and boundaries, and more. A strong jet streak will move across the Southern 1/2 of Oklahoma into Texas, with moderate to strong shear. This, coupled with moderate to strong instability could yield a pretty busy day for severe weather.
The Bottom Line: There are numerous questions about tomorrow, but the basic ingredients for a significant severe weather day and tornado risk are there. I think the degree of destabilization and storm mode/coverage are my big questions. As with April 19th, if you get isolated, mature, and robust supercells strong tornadoes are likely given the wind shear. But I’m not fully convinced things will work out that way yet. But it is something I’m at least concerned about to mention here.
Be sure to subscribe to us on YouTube as we’ll be going live both today and tomorrow about 4:00 CT.