Taking a look at trends at this 10:30 a.m. hour, the ongoing storms (blue) will continue to move north with a tornado threat. There was recently a report of a tornado in western Oklahoma associated with that activity.

The key for what happens today lies with the circled red area. If that becomes a linear complex then the tornado risk is lowered but not zero the rest of the day. If the area in red largely holds off a few more hours, then we will likely be looking at numerous discrete/robust supercells with a strong tornado threat developing over the purple circled area.

Lots in the air right now, but that’s what we’re monitoring.