Just a quick update on what chase chances look like this weekend. It is well-documented that this weekend’s system will be pretty moisture-starved, but it will also be very dynamic. A powerful storm system will bring overwhelming lift along an advancing Pacific front across portions of Kansas and Nebraska this weekend, along with solid deep-layer shear.

Damaging winds and perhaps quick spin-up tornadoes along the front edge of a line seem to be the main threats with this system right now. It’s not the most promising or enticing chase setup, to be sure, especially from a photographic standpoint. But we’re keeping an eye on the dryline to the south. If there are signs of more robust initiation, especially towards the Red River, that would likely feature supercells with big hail and a low tornado threat.