It is…yet another day where severe weather will occur over broad swaths of the central U.S.
There are two areas to talk about so let’s get to it.
Supercells with an attendant large hail and low tornado risk should take shape over Eastern Nebraska down into Northeast Kansas this afternoon.
- Overall I think large hail is the primary threat. Some hail sizes could approach giant (baseball+) in the stronger storms.
- The tornado risk is low, but it will be maximized where a dominant supercell mode can establish. Storm interactions may help storms produce tornadoes today (like they did yesterday). But only the ‘right kind’ of interaction that enhances the RFD.
Down south, a more complicated scenario is in place across Oklahoma and Texas. Several boundaries from yesterday’s storms are apparent across the region.
- The tornado risk in Oklahoma and North Texas is very low. It will likely focus along the boundaries in place ahead of the front, with a brief window for the storm to spin up a tornado or two.
- I don’t think there will be a lot of tornado producing storms. We’re talking one, maybe two. And all within an hour or two most likely.
- The hail and damaging wind threat is definitely much higher today. Again, expect giant hail in this region from the strongest storms.
- It is may, you chase. At least that’s what I’m telling myself as I sit under one of these boundaries as I type this.
The Bottom Line
It will be another day full of severe weather reports and expect at least a few tornado reports out of today. I also think we may see a few storms produce 3” or 4” hailstones today. Hail is back in style!
Overall it’s a standard but enhanced threat of severe weather today. As always, have a good severe weather action plan together.